Understanding Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
When the same match is priced differently on Polymarket and Kalshi, there's an opportunity. We break down how cross-platform spreads work and when they signal real arbitrage.
Insights on prediction markets, arbitrage, and Premier League analytics.
When the same match is priced differently on Polymarket and Kalshi, there's an opportunity. We break down how cross-platform spreads work and when they signal real arbitrage.
Polymarket and Kalshi structure their markets differently — different titles, different outcome formats, different date conventions. Here's how we normalise and match them.
Liquidity, fees, market types, and settlement rules — a side-by-side comparison of the two biggest prediction market platforms for Premier League matches.
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